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Investors have been raking in income thanks to attractive yields in the U.S. bond market. Investing in global bond funds Individual investors can add exposure to foreign bonds through global bond funds. There are hedged funds, which hedge foreign currency exposure back to the U.S. dollar and therefore reduce currency risk. "It's good to be diversified because foreign bond exposure is a massive part of the global bond markets," Mulach said. Here are Morningstar's top picks for global bond exposure: The Pimco strategies keep the bulk of their non-U.S. currency exposure hedged back to the U.S. dollar.
Persons: Rick Rieder, Rieder, Collin Martin, Martin, It's, Mike Mulach, Mulach, Rick Rieder's, Darla Mercado Organizations: BlackRock, SEC, Investment, U.S ., European, European Central Bank, Federal, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Morningstar, U.S, Strategic Global Bond Fund, Investor, Morningstar . Dodge, Cox's Global Bond Fund Locations: U.S, Europe, BlackRock, Mexico, Brazil
IEI has a 30-day SEC yield of 4.26% and carries an expense ratio of 0.15%. BINC, which is actively managed, has a 30-day SEC yield of 5.6% and a net expense ratio of 0.4%. Investors can use ETFs to tackle that space: Vanguard's Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) has a 30-day SEC yield of 5.33%. There's also the iShares 5-10 Year Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (IGIB) , offering a 30-day SEC yield of 5.4%. Hunting dividend payers Higher rates have overshadowed opportunities among dividend-paying stocks, which look less attractive to income investors who can find risk-free yields easily.
Persons: it's, Michael Carbone, Carbone, Gargi Chaudhuri, Collin Martin, There's, Michael Clarfeld Organizations: Dow Jones, Traders, Federal, Treasury Bond ETF, SEC, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Corporate Locations: Chelmsford , Massachusetts, BlackRock, ClearBridge
The inflows this year come at a time when, historically, money funds see seasonal outflows. Ho calculates about $5.5 trillion of the assets sitting in money market funds are core liquidity for companies and cash savings for retail investors. In fact, the most recent push into money market funds is coming from institutional investors, according to the ICI. Assets of institutional money market funds increased by $33.06 billion to $3.65 trillion, while retail money market funds rose by $8.62 billion to $2.35 trillion, the organization found. That's because yields on money market funds lag behind Fed moves.
Persons: Teresa Ho, Ho, Powell, Shelly Antoniewicz, Jerome Powell, AllianceBernstein, Monika Carlson, Carlson, Amy Arnott, Arnott, Rob Williams, Charles Schwab Organizations: JPMorgan, Investment Company Institute, Federal Reserve, CNBC, ICI, Fed, Treasury, Morningstar, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: Treasurys
Indeed, investors get paid for taking a small step down in credit quality in the muni bond space. What's even sweeter is that municipal bond income is generally exempt from federal income tax. This also means high income investors would have to scoop up a higher yielding corporate bond to get the same tax-advantaged yield a muni bond would generate. A measured amount of risk Munis offer lower yields compared to their corporate counterparts, but they also carry significantly less risk. Lower risk, however, doesn't necessarily mean risk free.
Persons: Jennifer Johnston, Franklin Templeton, Lyle Fitterer, munis, corporates, Cooper Howard, Jonathan Mondillo, Franklin Templeton's Johnston Organizations: Federal Reserve, Franklin, AAA, muni, Strategic Municipal Bond Fund, York Life Investments, Moody's Investors Service, Charitable, Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: muni, Abrdn
Wholesale inflation fell by 0.1% in December, capping a year in which the rate of price increases dropped sharply, according to a report from the Labor Department released on Friday. The producer price index for all of 2023 came in at 1% compared to 6.4% in 2022. No indication of inflation at the wholesale level,” Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, posted on social media. A lot will depend on how the economy performs this year after putting in a strong performance in 2023. Wages are increasing and now running higher than the level of inflation, giving support to consumer spending.
Persons: ” Kathy Jones, , Jeffrey Roach, ” “, Jared Cohen, Goldman Sachs, Ian Bremmer, Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, Dimon, ” Dimon Organizations: Labor Department, PPI, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Federal, LPL Financial, BCA Research, Fed, U.S, Global Affairs, Goldman, Eurasia Group, GZERO Media, JPMorgan Locations: Red, Iranian, Asia, U.S, Ukraine
Municipal bonds, favored for their tax-free income, are looking at a solid year in 2024 and could be a compelling purchase for investors hoping to lock in attractive yields. "We will likely see positive total returns," said Cooper Howard, fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. "Munis are one of the best things going in the fixed income space," he said. It provides all the attributes of fixed income, and it serves as ballast to an overall diversified portfolio." Naturally, rates are on the minds of fixed income investors and strategists, as well as recession risk.
Persons: Cooper Howard, who've, Peter Higgins, Ben Barber, Schwab's Howard, Paul Malloy, It's, Beth Foos, Malloy, Howard, you've Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Morningstar U.S, Municipal, Shelton Capital Management, York Life Investments, Franklin, AAA, Vanguard, Bond, Morningstar Locations: New York , New Jersey, California
Expect to work a little harder for those fixed income returns in the new year. As a result, it may be time to start unwinding those big cash positions and adopt a longer-term mentality for fixed income investments. A runup in bond yields is accompanied by a decline in prices, and the two move inversely to one another. The sector "remains well positioned to maintain its high credit quality, driven by solid state credit quality and strong state financial support, despite soft enrollment trends," analyst Kathleen McNamara wrote last week. Consider dollar cost averaging into those longer-dated positions, incrementally building up exposure to intermediate duration bonds.
Persons: Jerome Powell, it's, Kathy Jones, Shannon Saccocia, Jones, Nicholos Venditti, Kathleen McNamara, Schwab's Jones, Barry McAlinden, Michael Bloom Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Bond, SEC, Muni Bond ETF, Allspring Global Investments, UBS
Inflation Continues to Cool as Energy Prices Fall
  + stars: | 2023-11-30 | by ( Tim Smart | Nov. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +4 min
Both are yet another indication that inflation has moderated from its pace of last year when consumer inflation was running at a 9.1% annual rate. “After fears of "sticky" and "persistent" inflation, the month to month slowing in the core pce readings is encouraging. Core pce has risen by 0.3% or less for 8 consecutive months. Political Cartoons on Inflation View All 19 Images"This report hit the trifecta,” said Navy Federal Credit Union corporate economist Robert Frick. “During October, mortgage rates were at their highest, and contract signings for existing homes were at their lowest in more than 20 years,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist.
Persons: ” Kathy Jones, , Robert Frick, , Zumper, Lawrence Yun, Curt Long Organizations: Federal Reserve, pce, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Federal Credit Union, National Association of Realtors, NAR, Fed, Labor, National Association of Federal Credit Unions, Dow Jones Industrial Locations:
While options contracts historically expire on Fridays, the most popular stock indexes now have contracts that expire on every day of the week. This creates the ability for "zero-day to expiration," or "0DTE," options trading. The new funds come as trading in options that are about to expire has expanded dramatically as a share of the options market in recent years. The rise of short-term options trading has created split opinions on Wall Street. "In my mind, 0DTE has always been a risk day, but we've now spread that risk out across an entire month.
Persons: Michael M, IWM, Marko Kolanovic, 0DTE, you've, Randy Frederick Organizations: Nasdaq, Getty, Trust, Securities, Exchange Commission, Federal Reserve, Schwab Center, Financial Research, CNBC Locations: New York City, Cboe
“Participants generally noted a high degree of uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook,” the minutes noted. “FOMC minutes reinforced the ’wait and see’ policy stance was unanimous. Focus was on tightening in financial conditions and slowing in inflation and labor market. The central bank will meet on Dec. 12 for a two-day meeting of its monetary policy committee, but the markets are pricing in no increase in interest rates. “I’m expecting continued relief concerning inventory and mortgage rates as the Fed begins cutting rates in the first half of next year,” Torres says.
Persons: , ” Kathy Jones, Jose Torres, “ I’m, ” Torres, Torres Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Fed, National Association of Realtors, Interactive
The monthly decline in the producer price index was the largest since April 2020, when the country was facing the shock of the COVID-19 pandemic. Excluding energy and food costs, the core index is now at 2.9% annualized, slightly above where it stood in September. Analysts had predicted a monthly drop of 0.1% and an annual rate of 1.9% for the overall index. It was the second reading in as many days that showed inflation receding closer to the Federal Reserve’s 2% annual target. The core index, leaving out energy and food costs, came in at 4%.
Persons: ” Kathy Jones, John Sedunov, , Jerome Powell, , Wells, Dan North Organizations: of Labor Statistics, , Analysts, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Dow Jones, Research, Villanova University, International Monetary Fund, Treasury, Census, North America, Allianz Trade, Consumers Locations: Washington, U.S
Edelman also founded Edelman Financial, a large firm of registered investment advisors. The potential of a bitcoin ETF has appeared to help fuel a recent rally in the cryptocurrency. Concerns from advisors Crypto's dramatic rise has largely come without the embrace of the traditional financial system, such as financial advisors and major banks. But not all financial advisors seem ready to embrace crypto just because investing in it is simpler. Client demand Even if advisors are skeptical of crypto, the arrival of bitcoin ETFs is sure to generate more questions from clients.
Persons: BlackRock, Ric Edelman, Edelman, Bitcoin, bitcoin, Sam Bankman, Randy Frederick, Frederick, Andrew Morgan, Taylor, Morgan, that's, Amy Hescht, They're Organizations: Nasdaq, Digital Assets Council, Financial Professionals, Edelman, The Securities, Exchange Commission, SEC, Blackrock, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Fidelity, Presper Financial, Advisors, fund's Locations: United States, U.S, Bitcoin, BlackRock, Michigan, Akron , Ohio
The economy added 150,00 jobs in October, suggesting a mild slowdown following September’s outsized gain, the Labor Department reported on Friday. Nonfarm payrolls comes in a bit light, downward revisions to previous 2 months and wage growth on the low end. On the margin it feels like it has softened up, but it's still a mighty hot job market,” says Steve Preston, CEO of Goodwill Industries. The Federal Reserve has been looking to the labor market for signs it has reached a better balance between supply and demand than a year ago. Chairman Jerome Powell noted that the labor market has remained strong even as interest rates have risen at a sharp pace over the past year.
Persons: , Noah Yosif, Nonfarm payrolls, ” Kathy Jones, it's, Steve Preston, ” Preston, Geno Cutolo, Scott Hamilton, ” Hamilton, Jerome Powell, “ We've Organizations: Labor Department, UKG, , Schwab Center, Financial Research, Goodwill Industries, Federal Reserve, Labor Locations: North America
A trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 27, 2023. October has lived up to its reputation for volatility, as a surge in Treasury yields and geopolitical uncertainty pressured stocks. Higher Treasury yields are seen as a headwind to stocks, in part because they compete with equities for buyers. More broadly, some believe the stock market's trading patterns this year point to a rebound in the fourth quarter. "The stock market is poised for a late Q4 rally."
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Sam Stovall, CME's, Alex McGrath, Charlie Ripley, Tesla, Stovall, Ned Davis, Randy Frederick, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Richard Chang Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Apple Inc, Treasury, Strong U.S, CFRA Research, Investors, U.S, Gross, Fed, Allianz Investment Management, Google, CFRA, Ned Davis Research, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Think of your biggest investing success. Maybe it was a mega-sized company whose stock you bought when it was just a startup. There are many reasons why a particular trade might be your most successful, but when asked, investors identify one factor above all others. In a recent client survey conducted by Charles Schwab, 33% of investors attributed their greatest investing success to patience through volatility. As for the biggest culprits behind investors' worst trades: lack of research (20%), bad timing (18%) and high risk (13%).
Persons: Charles Schwab, Mark Riepe, Spenser Liszt Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Motif, Fidelity
Tax-exempt income and relative safety are on sale for investors who are sniffing around municipal bonds. Tax-exempt income Interest income from municipal bonds is exempt from federal income tax — and can avoid state and local levies, too, if an investor and the bond issuer are in the same jurisdiction. This feature makes munis especially attractive to high-income investors in the 32% marginal federal income tax bracket and higher. Investors weighing a tax-exempt municipal bond against a corporate bond would do well to check out the tax equivalent yield. Schwab's Howard noted that the 5- to 7-year part of the municipal bond curve is favorable.
Persons: MUB, Nathan Will, Will, it's, Cooper Howard, Schwab's Howard, Shannon Saccocia Organizations: Federal Reserve, Muni Bond ETF, Vanguard, AAA, Bond, ., New York Life Investments, Schwab Center, Financial Research Locations: munis, muni
Surge in Job Openings in August, Defying Expectations
  + stars: | 2023-10-03 | by ( Tim Smart | Oct. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +3 min
Job openings unexpectedly rose in August by 690,000 in a surprise that was led by a jump in demand for workers in business services, the Labor Department reported on Tuesday. Job openings rise to 9.6 mil from 8.8 mil last month. That means analysts will wait for other data on the job market out this week to see whether the job openings report is an anomaly. The job openings data lag the other labor market reports this week by a month. On Friday, the government will release its monthly jobs report for September with analysts looking for a continued moderation in the pace of growth in employment.
Persons: , ” Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab, , Geno Cutolo, Mark Hamrick, ” Hamrick, Brij Khurana, Khurana Organizations: Labor Department, Charles, Charles Schwab Center, Financial Research, Federal, Wellington Management Locations: North America
The personal consumption expenditures price index increased 0.4% in August, slightly below estimates, while the yearly rise was 3.5%. But it was the core index that strips out food and energy prices coming in at 3.9%, its lowest reading since September of 2021, that is likely of most interest to the Fed. While goods prices have slowed considerably, costs in the services sector have proven harder to bring down, driven largely by housing prices. Looked at just over the past three months, the rate of core inflation has slowed markedly and is not far from the Fed’s 2% annual target. “PCE and core pce figures indicate continued inflation easing,” Kathy Jones, chief fixed income strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, commented on X.
Persons: , , Carol Schleif, ” Kathy Jones, Andrew Patterson, Downside, ” Patterson Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, PCE, BMO Family Office, Schwab Center, Financial Research
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., August 15, 2023. In the 12-months through August, the CPI jumped 3.7%, though year-on-year consumer prices have come down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022. Markets now anticipate that the Fed will cut rates for the first time in July 2024, compared with expectations a month ago that rates would begin falling by March. “Earnings are what matter from here, particularly with an AI sector that needs to justify expectations." Reporting by David Randall; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Sharon SingletonOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Alex McGrath, Kevin Gordon, Charlie McElligott, , David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Sharon Singleton Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Futures, Treasury, U.S ., Schwab Center, Financial Research JPMorgan, Nomura, Nvidia, Companies, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
Too high a number could fan fears of the Fed leaving interest rates higher for longer or hiking them more in coming months. That would give investors less reason to hold onto stocks after a tech-led drop in which the S&P 500 lost about 5% from summer highs. Reasons for optimism include the relative outperformance of the U.S. economy compared to Europe and China, and signs the so-called profit recession among S&P 500 companies may be over. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector lost more than 2% this week following news that Beijing had ordered central government employees to stop using iPhones for work. Still, much of the bull case for stocks hinges on softer inflation eventually pushing the Fed to lower interest rates.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Michael Purves, Randy Frederick, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Technology, Apple, Huawei, Chief, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Credit Suisse Securities, UBS Global Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Europe, China, Beijing
Too high a number could fan fears of the Fed leaving interest rates higher for longer or hiking them more in coming months. That would give investors less reason to hold onto stocks after a tech-led drop in which the S&P 500 lost about 5% from summer highs. Reasons for optimism include the relative outperformance of the U.S. economy compared to Europe and China, and signs the so-called profit recession among S&P 500 companies may be over. The S&P 500 Information Technology sector lost more than 2% this week following news that Beijing had ordered central government employees to stop using iPhones for work. Still, much of the bull case for stocks hinges on softer inflation eventually pushing the Fed to lower interest rates.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Michael Purves, Randy Frederick, Ed Clissold, Ned Davis, Jonathan Golub, David Lefkowitz, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Tallbacken Capital Advisors, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Technology, Apple, Huawei, Chief, Ned, Ned Davis Research, Credit Suisse Securities, UBS Global Wealth Management, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, Europe, China, Beijing
Local municipal general obligation bonds help fund operations or specific projects. Right now, yields for local general obligation munis are historically attractive at about 3.7%, said Cooper Howard, fixed income strategist for the Schwab Center for Financial Research. In general, the credit quality of local general obligation munis are pretty solid, said Richard Schwam, a municipal credit research analyst at AllianceBernstein. "There are so many general obligation bonds in the country that you can stay away from anything too tiny. Weinberg also recommended diversifying with multiple states, but cautioned that buying a bond outside of your state means you'll likely be subject to state income tax.
Persons: It's, Cooper Howard, Howard, Richard Schwam, Schwam, Schwab's Howard, bode, Ian Weinberg, Weinberg Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, AAA, San, Family Wealth, Pension Management, Schwab's Municipal, Bond Locations: California, New York, San Francisco
Strong economic growth has spurred expectations that the Federal Reserve will leave rates higher for longer, pushing Treasury yields this month to their highest levels since 2007. The S&P 500 has lost 4% this month as the U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed to a more than 15-year high of 4.366% on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 technology sector (.SPLRCT) has dropped 5.7%, bitcoin has fallen over 10% and the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK.P) - a bastion of many high-growth names - has dropped 18.5%. Stocks rose on Monday, with the S&P 500 closing up 0.7% and futures pointed to a further rise on Tuesday. The S&P 500 is over 8% below its January 2022 closing high.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, bitcoin, Sameer Samana, , Jerome Powell, Matt Maley, Miller, Goldman Sachs, Randy Frederick, Frederick, David Randall, Lewis Krauskopf, Ira Iosebashvili, Bill Berkrot Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Innovation, U.S ., Wells, Wells Fargo Investment Institute, Lipper, Investor, Deutsche Bank, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Wells Fargo, Samana, Jackson Hole , Wyoming
The S&P 500 is up nearly 19% this year after gaining around 1% in the past week. At the same time, investors believe the Fed is unlikely to deliver much more of the monetary policy tightening that shook markets last year. A test of the economy comes next week, when the U.S. reports employment numbers for July. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is up nearly 44% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 information technology sector has gained nearly 46%. The S&P 500 tech sector now trades at 28.2 times forward earnings, from 19.6 at the start of the year.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, Jerome Powell, Bob Kalman, Torsten Slok, Burns McKinney, Randy Frederick, wouldn't, David Randall, Ira Iosebashvili, Deepa Babington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Federal, Miramar Capital, Apollo Global Management, Meta, Roku Inc, NJF Investment Group, Apple, Microsoft, Schwab Center, Financial Research, Thomson Locations: New York, U.S, Miramar
An options strategy that's done just right will let you capture appreciation as stocks rise and generate some portfolio income. Enter covered calls. With covered calls, rising markets introduce an element of risk: Sell a covered call against a stock that takes off on a hot streak, and you miss an opportunity. "The Nasdaq 100 has had some incredible runs, and investors missed out on those if they were in the covered calls strategy," Armour said. "In a year like 2022, I'm not sure the Nasdaq 100 covered calls strategy would feel defensive."
Persons: Randy Frederick, Frederick, Bryan Armour, It's, Armour, I'm Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Corporation, Tech, Nvidia, Meta, Morningstar, JPMorgan Equity, Global, Nasdaq Locations: North America
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